| 000 | 01250cab a2200193 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | ##L134635 | ||
| 008 | 060821n2006 000 0 eng u | ||
| 035 | _a(Sirsi) u134635 | ||
| 041 | 0 | _aeng | |
| 100 | 1 | _aTsolacos, Sotiris | |
| 245 | 0 | 3 | _aAn assesment of property performance forecasts: consensus versus econometric |
| 260 | _c2006 | ||
| 490 | 0 |
_aJournal of Property Investment and Finance _v24(5) 2006, 386-399(14) |
|
| 520 | _aAn examination of the accuracy of various types of property forecasts, focusing on an evaluation of the IPF Consensus Forecast Survey. The evaluation of such forecasts is discussed in general terms, and the IPF forecasts are then compared with forecasts based on econometric models (real time forecasts). The author concludes that for rents, over a one year forecast horizon, the IPF consensus forecasts outperform the other models examined. However, for total return forecasts and where the forecast horizon lengthens to two years, regression models and a combination of the statistical models are more accurate than the consensus forecast. | ||
| 590 | _aIKA210806 | ||
| 651 | 4 |
_aUnited Kingdom _y |
|
| 690 | _aPROPERTY-PROPERTY FINANCE AND INVESTMENT-PROPERTY INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT | ||
| 942 | _n0 | ||
| 999 |
_c77603 _d77603 |
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