000 01087cab a22001935a 4500
001 L142451
008 080214s2008 xxkad f s 000 0 eng d
035 _a(Sirsi) u142451
041 0 _aeng
100 1 _aMitchell, Paul
245 0 0 _aForecasting
_bwhere did it all go wrong?
260 _c2008
490 0 _aProperty Forecast
_v11(1) January 2008, 6-7(2)
520 _aNotes that commercial property forecasts are important because they are used by investors, fund managers and developers to appraise assets and create portfolio strategies. Considers the origins of forecasting mistakes in the last five years such as failing to anticipate the bull property market run between 2002 and 2006 and to predict the sharp downturn in 2007. Reflects on the usefulness of forecasts in the investment fund and management process. Tables show: contributions to excess total returns; long run real prospective return for UK property and risk premium over bonds.
590 _aKA
651 4 _aInternational
690 _aPROPERTY-COMMERCIAL PROPERTY-COMMERCIAL PROPERTY MARKET
942 _n0
999 _c79830
_d79830