000 01138cab a22002175a 4500
001 L146151
008 081211s2008 xxkad f s 000 0 eng d
035 _a(Sirsi) u146151
041 0 _aeng
100 1 _aMcAllister, Patrick
245 0 0 _aAgreement and accuracy in consensus forecasts of the UK commercial property market
260 _c2008
490 0 _aJournal of Property Research
_v25(1) March 2008, 1-22(22)
520 _aInvestigates the nature, extent and patterns of disagreement and uncertainty in the forecasts of UK property investors and their advisers. Analyses the Investment Property Forum's consensus forecasts from 1999-2004. Finds that property forecasting organisations tend to exhibit the characteristics of a consensus, potentially indicating a herding bias, and that difficulties forecasting yield shifts area key source of uncertainty. Suggests that there are inefficiencies in property market forecasts.
590 _aKA
651 4 _aUnited Kingdom
_y
690 _aPROPERTY-INFRASTRUCTURE-INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE AND INVESTMENT
700 1 _aNewell, Graeme
700 1 _aMatysiak, George
942 _n0
999 _c81053
_d81053